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GOP won 3 million more votes this year, but not where it counted

Related Topics: David Shor

Republicans lead Democrats by roughly 3.5 million votes when all 435 House elections are combined, in what analysts called a clear but not overwhelming signal of voters’ preference for the GOP.

Some ballots are still being tallied, chiefly in California, which means Democrats will make up ground. But analysts said the GOP will end up with a lead of about 3 percentage points.

In any normal year that would likely have been good enough to net about 25 seats and give the GOP 230 seats — a firm majority. Instead, Republicans are poised to hold no more than 222 seats, which would be a net gain of about 10.