From 2021-2024, few hitters in baseball did more damage to one pitch than Nathaniel Lowe against fastballs. His .410 wOBA and +10 run value against them in 2024 was among the best of any player against any pitch in baseball.
Yet, here we are about halfway through the 2025 MLB season and Lowe has struggled mightily against fastballs, posting a .297 wOBA and -5 run value against them, among the lowest of anyone against any pitch in baseball. While hitting fastballs harder this year than last (46.6% Hard Hit% in 2025 vs 38.8% in 2024), he’s also swinging and missing at them more than ever, posting a 26.