Redskins outcome probabilities at No. 2 overall in the 2020 NFL Draft

So you say there’s a “100 percent” chance the Redskins draft Chase Young? Incorrect.

The whole-piece percentile gets used too often in a sport as chaotic as football. At some point, we have to respect the unpredictable nature of the sport, which can be found at every juncture, even at the Washington Redskins No. 2 overall selection in the 2020 NFL Draft.

It’s only mid-January, and already, pundits and fans alike are penciling in Chase Young as Washington’s first-round selection. Some have even called the move a “done deal”. “All but a lock”. “100 percent”.

The illusion of confidence is a valuable thing to debaters, but even the most “100 percent” thing you can think of is a “99.99 percent”, at…