How much will Taylor Heinicke be worth as an unrestricted free agent?

There’s been a lot of quarterback talk round these parts lately.

With Taylor Heinicke in the final year of his contract with the Commanders, a lot of that talk involves discussion of bringing him back on an appropriately priced contract.

One great disservice has been done by Spotrac, who use a fairly basic algorithm to estimate free agency values for selected upcoming free agents. Their computer algorithm projects Taylor Heinicke to be worth over $19m per year in the coming offseason.

Let me assure you that this is utter nonsense.

Here is where the number comes from:

Spotrac’s algorithm finds the 4 players who most closely match the statistical profile of the upcoming free agent, and then does simple averaging to arrive at a value.