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Simulating the Remainder of Wake Forest’s Regular Season

It was a great week for the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, as they defeated the Miami Hurricanes by 17 and then defeated NC State en route to Wake’s first ACC road victory in nearly 3 calendar years. The Deacs now hold a 3-4 conference record with 11 conference games remaining. We wanted to simulate the rest of the season to see the distribution of ACC wins. What do the numbers tell us?

Schedule Win Probability
Syracuse 49%
DUKE 45%
Boston College 78%
GEORGIA TECH 84%
Notre Dame 25%
NC STATE 82%
Clemson 35%
Duke 21%
PITTSBURGH 77%
LOUISVILLE 37%
Virginia Tech 46%
Total 5.