This past Saturday, the Virginia Cavaliers men’s basketball team improved to 7-0 by taking down the Florida State Seminoles, 62-57. Despite the fact that the ‘Hoos won the game, most of us were left underwhelmed given their roaring start to the season, the Seminoles’ exact opposite trend, and the fact that UVA never truly pulled away from an inferior opponent.
Shot Quality quantifies the expected value of each shot taken throughout a game based on a number of factors. The model indicates that UVA “should” have lost to FSU, 72-70. The 1-9 Noles have an expected record of just 4-6 so, while they have obviously underperformed, they are still a bad team in every measure.