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Predicting Vanderbilt’s 2018 schedule using S&P+

As Bill Connelly mows through his season preview series, it’s going to be a while before he comes to the SEC and Vanderbilt.

But we have his preseason S&P+ projections from February, which have Vanderbilt as the 75th-best team in FBS with a rating of -1.0 (0 is exactly average.) We’ve taken the projected spreads (using 3.5 points for homefield advantage) and plugged them into a spread-to-moneyline converter to get the likelihood of winning each game. The results:

  • #83 Middle Tennessee State (Sept. 1): Projected spread: 5.4 points; odds of winning: 65%
  • #101 Nevada (Sept.