The people who have something to lose from being wrong think the Commodores will go 5-7.
Unlike S&P+, FPI, and blowhards with internet columns, Las Vegas sportsbooks have something to lose from being wrong: money. So maybe it's meaningful that oddsmakers have set the over/under for Vanderbilt's win total at 5 games.
The Commodores are expected to improve over 2015, but with road trips to Georgia Tech and Western Kentucky on the nonconference slate, along with the usual difficult SEC schedule, improving on last year's 4-8 record is not a given. Perhaps it's heartening that Vegas sees enough of a possibility of improvement in the win column that they're not willing to run the risk of a 5-7 (or better) Vanderbilt team killing them.