In 2019, Vancouver Whitecaps academy graduate Jose Hernendez scored his first professional goal for CPL side Pacific F.C. I remember seeing at least a few tweets saying the Whitecaps had been foolish to let him go. At time of writing it is August 15th 2021 and Hernendez has still not scored his second professional goal. Clearly we need some standards.
I set out to try and establish some standards. It turned out to be quite difficult. I recently did an analysis of how USL scoring translated to MLS. That was pretty easy. There has been tons of movement between the two leagues so it’s easy to get a good sense of what you can reasonably expect from a player who makes the jump.