Who are the most underachieving and overachieving head coaches in college football?
Bill Connelly of Football Study Hall answered that question, to a point, on Wednesday when he updated his list of overachievers and underachievers based on win expectancy.
Win expectancy takes into account all the stats within a game and determines which team was most likely to win based on that, not the score. It’s an interesting look at who does and doesn’t prevail when they ought to, which is as much a measure of a good coach as anything else.
Clay Helton doesn’t feature on the list because he doesn’t have the necessary seasons under his belt, with the cutoff set at three.