The next five weeks of games don’t matter.
Alright, that’s a bit excessive. The next five weeks of games don’t necessarily matter.
Toronto currently sits three games back of Milwaukee in the loss column, but really four games back, due to losing the tiebreaker. Expecting Milwaukee to lose four out of the next 19 games is already a reach — Toronto would also have to go undefeated. Both teams have easy remaining schedules: Milwaukee has 10 games against sub-.500 teams, while Toronto has 14 games against sub.-500 teams. FiveThirtyEight.com has Milwaukee favoured to win all but one game (April 4 visit to Philadelphia).