Odds are that the Leafs will either win or lose against the Bruins

Math makes people nervous at this time of year. And yet, even knowing that, here I am telling you the probabilities for the Maple Leafs in the playoffs.

First Moneypuck’s great wheel of misfortune (scroll down on that page for the web version):

Let’s look at the only blue wedge that matters. Toronto has a 42% chance to beat the Boston Bruins into dust and make the second round. Are they the favourites? No, of course not. The other third place teams are at 42% for the Flyers, 55% for San Jose and 38% for the Wild. You need to play Randy Carlyle’s Ducks in the first round to be the favourite as a third place team.

Although by the time you dwindle into the Stanley Cup Finals, the Sharks…