That would downplay the reality that Tampa Bay thoroughly outplayed the Leafs in the third period of Game 3, and even at the start of Game 3 before taking an early penalty and conceding the 1-0 goal. In Game 2, the Lightning started really tilting the ice at 5v5 as well. In this game, Tampa simply carried it over at 5v5, except they didn’t take a bunch of penalties along the way.
The Lightning forecheck is giving the Leafs fits. Toronto can’t break out cleanly and therefore aren’t generating enough offensively. Special teams were the story early in this series, but now the 5v5 battle is taking shape.