One interesting wrinkle to talking about prospects in a draft is how to separate a player’s raw point production and other basic, boxcar stats from their “eye test” scouting or manually tracked microstats. We all know of prospects who score a ton in junior, but never make it in the NHL. Only rarely is it due to an unfair lack of opportunity, most often they’re just never good enough to distinguish themselves from the mass of AHL/NHL tweeners.
Or, put another way, points in junior does not automatically equate to future NHL ability. That’s one of the big flaws in NHLe (or similar) models.