After 12 weeks of trying to beat the SI Sportsbook with my player prop predictions, I am 28-30 while being -7.60 units on a $100 baseline of each investment.
Forecasting player outcomes has been challenging over the past few weeks in the NFL. Sometimes you make a correct evaluation, but the dots don’t connect in the game. Last week, I had a dismal 1-4 week, pushing my bankroll in the hole.
If I wager on the favorite, I lay the juice to win $100 (-115 betting line = $115 to win $100). On the underdog side, I wager $100 to win the extra profit ($100 to win $150 with +150 betting line).