Sometimes, it's OK to go with chalk.
There's a notion that to be sharp you have to be contrarian, and there's truth in that. But sometimes obvious picks and clear favorites are obvious for a reason.
When you look at the NFL MVP odds at BetMGM, Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes tops the list. That's no surprise. But he's +600 to win the award.
There's value in that number, even as the favorite.
Patrick Mahomes leads NFL MVP odds
Here is the list of the NFL MVP candidates whose odds are 20-to-1 or less at BetMGM:
Mahomes +600
Aaron Rodgers +1100
Josh Allen +1400
Tom Brady +1400
Dak Prescott +1600
Lamar Jackson +1800
Matthew Stafford +2000
Russell Wilson +2000
Taking Wilson or Stafford at those odds is just fine.