Think the Cincinnati Bengals, sitting at 10-3 and the No. 2 seed in the AFC, are a lock to make the postseason? Think again.
Cincy is probably going to make the playoffs -- SportsLine's projections give them a 99.8 percent chance of getting in -- but they are not definitely going to make the playoffs. There's a Lloyd Christmas chance of them falling apart down the stretch.
The loss of Andy Dalton to a freak thumb injury is crippling. We saw AJ McCarron make some plays in relief.