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Florida football enters 2025 as major turnaround candidate for ESPN

Related Topics: Bill Connelly

Winning football games takes more than talent and preparation. As much as coaches and analysts hate to admit it, luck plays a role in nearly every sport, and it's the same in the college football landscape.

ESPN numbers guru Bill Connelly looked at each program's luck during the 2024 season, and it turns out the Florida Gators weren't catching many breaks. Connelly breaks things down into four categories: close games luck, general shuffling, injuries and turnover luck before naming his turnaround candidates for the 2025 campaign.

Turnover luck is the difference between a team's expected turnover margin and actual turnover margin based on league averages.