History suggests that picking a winner of the NCAA women's tournament is pretty simple.
Top-three seeds have won all 40 women’s NCAA tournament titles, with No. 1 seeds having claimed the last 10 straight.
No 14 or 15 seeds have ever made it past the opening round of the tournament. A No. 16 seed has never advanced past the second round. Only three No. 13 seeds have played in the Sweet 16. One No. 11 seed has made the Elite Eight, and one No. 9 seed battled its way into the Final Four.