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Tracking win probability late in the Toledo-Western Michigan game

What were the chances of that happening?

Western Michigan pulled off a miracle win over Toledo in Wednesday’s Mid-American Conference game in Kalamazoo, Mich. The Rockets led by 10 with just over two minutes to go, before the Broncos pulled off the comeback.

Social media was abuzz with comments about the probability of such a rally occurring.

ESPN.com for college football games calculates win probably — the likelihood of a team winning at any given point during a game. It takes into account factors such as score, time remaining, down and distance, and field position.