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Lone Star Ball · Feb 3, 2025

PECOTA Projected Standings bullish on Rangers

Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images Baseball Prospectus has their PECOTA standings projections out for the 2025 season, and those of you who were looking forward to screaming about how BP hates the Rangers will be disappointed.

BP’s projections have the Rangers as being the second-best team in the American League with an average of 89.3 wins. That is a little behind the New York Yankees, who averaged 89.7 wins in the BP simulations, and a hair ahead of the Baltimore Orioles, who are at 89.2 wins. Texas is also favored to win the A.L. West in the PECOTA projections, taking the division title in 46.5% of simulations, as well as making the playoffs 75.3% of the time.

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