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Texas is back (in the top 10), but can they make it to the College Football Playoff?

Texas is back.

At least they’re back in the top 10 of the Associated Press poll. The Longhorns rose from No. 19 to No. 9 as a result of their big 48-45 win over Oklahoma Sooners in the Red River Showdown this past Saturday.

But where does Tom Herman’s team sit in the early stages of the race for a coveted spot in the four-team College Football Playoff?

According to the latest projection from Five Thirty Eight, the Longhorns aren’t in a great spot.

Texas is currently 5-1, but the projection gives them just a 12-percent chance of earning one of the four postseason slots available.