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Handicapping the race for the AFC's 2 seed

Fourteen weeks into the 2019 season, and a decent amount has materialized in the AFC. The Baltimore Ravens, led by Lamar Jackson and John Harbaugh, are the odds-on favorite not only to get the one seed in the AFC, but to win the Super Bowl (at 21.7%).

The more interesting development is for the second first-round bye in the conference. As we’ve said a number of times, no team in the NFL has even made the Super Bowl without the benefit of a first-round bye since the Ravens in 2012. In a league where parody is embraced, the first round of the playoffs is anything but a sure thing, so increasing your odds of advancing from 70/30 to 100/0 is of supreme importance.