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Stats O’War: Iowa State Advanced Stats Preview

On Saturday morning, the TCU Horned Frogs face the Iowa State Cyclones in Ames. TCU heads back to Ames leading the series 5-2 since the Frogs joined the Big 12. Iowa State has beaten TCU once in Fort Worth, under Paul Rhodes, and once in Ames, as part of Matt Campbell’s breakout season. The two programs have been historically similar in terms of team quality, and despite a gulf in the late 2000s to present, Iowa State has slowly been on the rise, finishing nearly identical to TCU in the last two seasons according to SP+.

That convergence has been driven largely in part by Matt Campbell’s defense.