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Advanced Stats Preview: Alamo Bowl

On Thursday the 28th, in San Antonio, the TCU Horned Frogs (13th in S&P+, 43rd in Offense, 14th in Defense) face the Stanford Cardinal (30th, 29th, 54th) in the Alamo Bowl, the Frogs second trip to the game in three years. S&P+ predicts the Frogs to win 29-25, with a probability of 59% — about a coin flip — which is what you’d expect from a bowl game between two teams who played in their respective conference championship games. CBS Sports’s expert panel all picked Stanford to win, with the exception of Chip Patterson, who stuck with the Frogs.