What we sometimes forget about baseball statistics is that how a player has done this season means a lot less moving forward that what his numbers tell us to expect from him in future years. In some cases, there are clear leading indicators that a player should regress or has really broken through. For instance, a player who strikes out many times for each walk can be expected to do worse while one who shows a clear improvement in plate discipline seems more likely to have taken a real step forward. When we talk about teams are not just individual players, though, things only get more complicated.
Tampa Bay Rays: Quantifying the Team’s Bad Luck
