Dan Szymborski released his 2022 ZiPS projections for the Tampa Bay Rays, giving us all some new fun data to dive into. ZiPS is generally one of my favorite projection systems, and I think Dan does a really good job in the article pointing out some of the fun things he saw this time around. Definitely give it a read.
A couple of caveats that I stress with any and every projection system:
- The projection doesn’t “hate” your team. It’s just an algorithm running numbers
- Projection systems can be biased though.