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Can an age group’s finishes at past U-18 tournaments predict World Juniors results?

Following the 2019 World Junior Championships last January, I had been reflecting over the tournament predictions I’d made in the tournament preview. Trying to predict the results of any hockey game is almost impossible, let alone an entire tournament. So when the tournament was all said and done, I was actually pretty happy with going 2-for-8 in my predictions.

I correctly predicted a silver medal United States win, and a 5th-place Swedish finish. However, I was completely off everywhere else, and I wondered if there was any way to make my predictions for the following year any more accurate.