As a rookie in 2016, Jared Goff had one of the worst quarterback seasons in recent NFL history. He averaged a minuscule 3.75 net yards per pass and threw only five touchdown passes in 205 attempts. In Football Outsiders' advanced stats, which go back to the 1986 season, Goff's passing DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) of minus-74.8 percent below average was the worst ever for a quarterback with at least 200 pass attempts.
Most fans wrote off Goff after his horrible rookie year. But the Football Outsiders QB Hope Index did not.
We introduced the QB Hope Index last year to look at what variables help determine the odds that a quarterback can become a long-term, successful NFL starter.