Hopefully by now everyone who has read my season predictions realizes that I don’t use the same prediction methods as the rest of the world. It’s not that I predict wild and crazy things solely for the purpose of click bait or reader outrage, I simply go off long-term historical trends as opposed to the short-term ones. The usual prediction article you see involves looking at last year’s finish, trades, draft picks, and age in the off-season. They boil it up, adjust a few wins and bang: complete predictions.

Here I use my “Lies, axioms, half-truths, and heartbreakers”:

• Things that are often repeated but almost never correct (Lies)
• Predictions you can generally rely on to be true even in the worst of times (Axioms)
• Things that are almost always true but never predicted (Half-Truths)
• Predictions that are, well, not so nice to say (Heartbreakers)

Lies

“The AFC South is the worst division in football.