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Underdog Dynasty · Aug 19, 2021

How closely does recruiting success forecast winning in Conference USA?

Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports “Stars don’t matter”

It’s a refrain we hear time and time again from college football fans, often those that support a program that isn’t pulling in top talent.

Despite overwhelming evidence that recruiting does in fact precede success on the gridiron, many fans will use anecdotal counter-examples to argue against this stone-cold fact until they’re blue in the face. And hey, I get it! It’s hard to come to grips with the realization that customized cookie cakes and photoshopped graphics from 3-4 years ago have a bigger impact on the outcome of any given college football game than a coach’s decision to go for it on fourth and one.

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