A few weeks ago, I went on a mini-rant about the 2021 version of Fangraphs’ Steamer projections. Steamer looked at the 2021 version of the Cardinals’ pitching staff and concluded that it would be one of the worst staffs the club has fielded in years.
Depth Charts believes the Cardinals pitchers will regress by a half run overall to a 4.43 team ERA. As I said at the time, that would require every pitcher on the staff to lose .5 ERA from their 2020 performance or half the arms to lose 1.00 ERA with no one improving.
The cumulative fWAR for the entire staff was just 11.