Thoughts on Cards ZiPS projections

Photo by Harry How/Getty ImagesZIPS released its annual Cardinals projections yesterday and I really don’t envy projection sites this year. I feel like COVID is going to make projections extremely difficult for at least a few more years with a missing minor league season and a two month season for anyone lucky enough to play in the majors. Look at any random two month sample in any given season and you can see the difficulty.

Pulling a name out of a hat - Tommy Edman - had a 68 wRC+ in June and July last year, 106 wRC+ in April and May. Kind of hoped the latter number would be higher for my point, but nevertheless neither number reflects the player he actually is. And a two month sample in…