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Thoughts on Cardinals ZiPS projections

Today is Christmas Eve. And yesterday, I got my first present: Dan Szymborski released the Cardinals team projections for 2021. Yes, that’s right. It’s that time of year again. The time where Dan hopefully projects the Cardinals to win 100 games and everything’s rosy and every player is a superstar.

While that’s not exactly what he projects, his projection is a Christmas present of sorts - despite declining Kolten Wong’s option and making no improvements to the team, they pretty much seem to have the same projection as every year. In fact, I’ll just use his words to convey what I mean:

“ZiPS hasn’t projected them outside the 85–90 win range in a full season since 2011.