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Expecting a Breakout Season For Carlson in 2021

Dylan Carlson probably had the most anticipated debut from a Cardinals player since Alex Reyes. The talented outfield prospect was held out just long enough for the club to earn their extra year of control and then was thrust into a starting spot to sink or swim.

He mostly sank. His final line was .200/.252/.364 with a .260 wOBA. That’s a 65 wRC+.

However, all season there was an undercurrent of optimism about how Carlson sank. This shows up in his expected stats for 2020. Based on batted ball data, Carlson’s line should have been .