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MLS Cup Playoff Math Update: Are Sporting KC Really Still Alive?

It’s been a month and a half since we’ve updated the playoff math for Sporting Kansas City. At that time, there were 13 games to go and we decided they need to roughly win nine of them. They then proceeded to lose three in a row to Real Salt Lake, LAFC and Austin FC, and four of the next five (another loss to Austin). They are 3-5-0 since that time.

Now there are six games to go, and by our prior math, they are already doomed.

In that scenario they needed to end on 49 points.