We talk a lot about Expected Goals around these parts. Almost every week, it seems, a debate rages in the comments section about the stat’s usefulness. A lot of times, there seems to be a genuine misunderstanding about what the number represents and what it is trying to say. I suspect this debate is going on a lot in similar soccer communities.
That’s a big part of why I wanted to help make this video. You may not know the name Michael Caley, but you probably should. He’s one of the pioneers of the xG model. He also writes for SB Nation’s Tottenham site Cartilage Free Captain, 538 and is one of the co-hosts of the Double Pivot Podcast.