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Approaching perfect: How to convert expected goals to real wins

The Sounders put up their two best expected goals totals of the season in their last two matches. They finished those two matches with one win, one loss, and a net-zero goal differential. That paradox between their stat-stuffing performances and lackluster results has created an analysis dilemma.

To better understand and correctly choose where to form your opinion on the content-with-chance-creation and dismayed-by-final-product spectrum, it’s important to understand the Sounders’ main tactical goal for these matches and for the season as a whole.

Here, head coach Brian Schmetzer has been consistent. After the Portland match, he reiterated the team’s tactical identity.