Dan Bailey had low probability to make the kick that Bobby Wagner blocked

Photo by Billie Weiss/Getty ImagesWhen the Dallas Cowboys cut Dan Bailey this September, a fuss was made by many. The Star-Telegram said that the Cowboys “shocked the world” with this move. Indeed, people from Seattle to Bombay and Bangkok stopped what they were doing and petitioned world leaders to plea for Jerry Jones to bring back his field goal kicker.

Or, you know, he wasn’t the best person for the job anymore.

Bailey was history’s most accurate kicker, but also coming off of an injury-shortened season in which he went 15-of-20 on field goals and missed two extra points. After missing four games with a groin injury, Bailey went 5-of-7 on PATs and 7-of-12 on FGs in the final four games.…