Welcome to the Official Lookout Landing Win Projection Calculator!
Last week, after FanGraphs released the ZiPS projections for the Mariners, I put together a rough win projection based on that projection system as well as one for the Steamer projections. There isn’t much to be optimistic about. The projections think the Mariners will win between 79-to-83 games, not nearly good enough to compete for the Wild Card.
These projection systems are inherently conservative. They aggregate thousands of iterations of projections, both good and bad, into what we see publically. John and I thought it would be an interesting exercise to see what would have to go right (or wrong) for the Mariners to hit some of their outlier projections.