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RoundtabLLe: assessing Julio’s chances to win Rookie of the Year

Can anyone take their eyes off Julio Rodríguez when the Mariners are playing? He’s been simply electric with play that demands recognition. But Rookie of the Year is a relative award. So we sat down to assess the state of the field in the American League. There are three clear tiers: a two-man race at the top between Julio and the Astros’ Jeremy Peña; a trio of solid players who could very plausibly win if they pour it on in the second half; and a set of dark horses that can’t be counted out.

MLB: Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins

Tier 1: The Frontrunners

Julio Rodríguez

While Peña remains the favorite, Julio currently has better odds some places than Peña for ROY, a fact that incenses Astros fans because Peña has some better numbers due to Julio’s slow start, although marginally so: the big difference is Peña has about fifty points more of slugging, and strikes out a tidier 23% of the time compared to Julio’s 30%.