A couple of weeks ago, I appended some guesses (“projections,” excuse me) to the opening day game post. Like so much of what I write here, they have fared poorly in their initial skirmishes with reality. Key among my assumptions – and it really felt more like an assumption rather than a projection – was that HRs would continue to rise. It’s very, very early, but HRs, as described in this Athletic piece by Rob Arthur ($), have dropped fairly dramatically. First, oops. Second, what?
The first thing that jumps off the page in the early-season league-wide stats is just how *well* batters are hitting the ball.