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About Last Night: the delightful improbability of Dylan Moore

If you checked out last night’s chart, you might have been surprised at the story the chart tells vs. what watching the game felt like. Per the win probability chart, the Mariners took a lead early on (Jose Marmolejos’s idiosyncratic home run), never surrendered that lead, and drove up a gently switchbacked road to the top of Mount Win, where they picnicked and posed for a family portrait. Per the actual experience of watching the game, the Mariners got in some early punches against a heavyweight prize fighter, then spent the rest of he game successfully ducking and feinting, beating the Dodgers at their own game, managing to stay upright until the final bell rang.