If we take our analysis of Joachim Blichfeld’s numbers seriously, then we should all have him higher up on our list of Sharks prospects. One person’s math is not full truth, but Emmanuel Perry’s draft model shows a player who has been climbing steadily closer to the NHL since his draft year.
Consider that, according this very same model, at the conclusion of the 2015-16 season, Blichfeld had a 22.4 percent chance of making the NHL. The average draft pick turns into an NHL player about 20 percent of the time.