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Matt Chapman has rarely been this bad against the fastball

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Nobody thought that Matt Chapman would repeat his transcendent 2024 season (5.4 fWAR), but he’s had a somewhat anonymous start to his 2025 for the San Francisco Giants. Oh sure, there have been highlights on both sides of the ball, but .217/.338/.411 doesn’t sit quite right. A quick scan of his Statcast data suggests a reason: he’s been tremendously awful against the four-seam fastball this season. Does that mean he’s going to be just good and not great? Not necessarily.

I’ll admit that his .217 average is what continues to stick out to me.