Pro Football Focus went through simulations carried out by their research and development team in an attempt to capture the high and low-end win projections for each team. The article states they used the 90th and 10th percentiles to determine the worst-case scenario as teams who perform outside of those expected outcomes will be the biggest stories by the end of the year.
The San Francisco 49ers certainly would have made the list last year after finishing 13-3 and making the Super Bowl. How could that change a year later? Well, PFF has their low-end below .