Let’s get this out of the way at the top. It is exceedingly likely that the Spurs would have beaten the Warriors in Game 1 had Kawhi Leonard stayed healthy. But, that kind of hypothetical scenario goes against the spirit of this column, which is meant to use numbers to understand what actually happened in the game and why.
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So, it turns out losing your MVP-caliber best player while competing against the best team in the league is a valid reason to lose.