Favorites continue to dominate the NBA playoffs with three more wins on Sunday. This postseason, they’re now 20-12 ATS for a gain of 6.95 units. Oddsmakers are inching up the point spreads ever so slightly.
While it’s certainly a trend I can get behind, my model has identified one game where it’s the total and not the point spread that offers some value.
Let’s take a look to see if we can find some evidence that would justify the play as the best bet.
Utah Jazz vs. Memphis Grizzlies, Moneyline, Total, and Odds
Moneyline: Jazz -225 | Grizzlies +188
Spread: Jazz -5.