Stats boffins have worked tirelessly to produce a Premier League 'deserved' table - and the results may surprise you.
Arsenal are expected to win the Premier League but a mid-table team breaks into the top three and a Champions League contender should get relegated, apparently.
It's also hard luck for Manchester United in this table, with Ruben Amorim apparently not set to work miracles after all.
Analysts at Opta have looked at the expected goals for each team in their respective 11 games so far, and then simulated each game 10,000 times to produce an 'expected points' total.