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Who’s Your Guy For the Blazers’ 2024 First-Round Pick?

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The Portland Trail Blazers are not locked into the 5th spot in the 2024 NBA Draft Lottery. Yet. But they’re relatively entrenched, with two more wins than 4th place Charlotte Hornets, and four fewer wins than the 6th place Memphis Grizzlies. But thanks to the eccentricities of the lottery system, they are extremely unlikely to actually pick 5th.

The 5th-place team has a 42.1% chance of moving into the top four picks, with nearly even odds for any one of those four slots. They also have a 46.3% chance of dropping to the 6th or 7th picks. They only have a 2.